Issued: 2023 May 05 17:00 UTC


Analysis from May 04/1700 UTC to May 05/1700 UTC:

Sunspot Regions on the Disk 05/1623 UTC (SDO Continuum): 8
The Largest Event: M2.1 from region 3296 at 05/0801 UT
X-ray background flux (1.0-8.0 A) May 04: C1.7
Radio Flux 10.7 cm at 04/2300 UTC (Penticton): 160
Solar Wind Speed at 05/1645 UTC: 347.9 km/s, density : 2.6 p/cm^3


Forecast:

Activity level will be: moderate - explanation
Event probabilities: Class C: 99%, Class M: 55%, Class X: 15%, Proton: 10%
X-ray background flux (1.0-8.0 A): in the range C1.8 - C2.8
Radio Flux 10.7 cm: a fluctuation in the range 160-170

Martina Pavelkova
RWC Prague, Astronomical Institute, Solar Dept., Ondrejov, Czech Republic
e-mail: sunwatch(at)asu.cas.cz