Issued: 2024 August 02 17:00 UTC


Analysis from August 01/1700 UTC to August 02/1700 UTC:

Sunspot Regions on the Disk 02/1511 UTC (SDO Continuum): 16
The Largest Event: M7.4 from region 3768 at 02/0455 UT
X-ray background flux (1.0-8.0 A) August 01: C8.2
Radio Flux 10.7 cm at 01/2300 UTC (Penticton): 239
Solar Wind Speed at 02/1645 UTC: 390.2 km/s, density : 0.6 p/cm^3


Forecast:

Activity level will be: high - explanation
Event probabilities: Class C: 99%, Class M: 90%, Class X: 45%, Proton: 15%
X-ray background flux (1.0-8.0 A): in the range C5.0-C9.0
Radio Flux 10.7 cm: a fluctuation in the range 220-250

Michael Vavra
RWC Prague, Astronomical Institute, Solar Dept., Ondrejov, Czech Republic
e-mail: sunwatch(at)asu.cas.cz