Issued: 2025 January 03 17:00 UTC


Analysis from January 02/1700 UTC to January 03/1700 UTC:

Sunspot Regions on the Disk 03/1534 UTC (SDO Continuum): 14
The Largest Event: X1.2 from region 3947 at 03/1139 UT
X-ray background flux (1.0-8.0 A) January 02: C2.9
Radio Flux 10.7 cm at 02/2300 UTC (Penticton): -
Solar Wind Speed at 03/1645 UTC: 426.7 km/s, density : 3.9 p/cm^3


Forecast:

Activity level will be: moderate - explanation
Event probabilities: Class C: 99%, Class M: 85%, Class X: 55%, Proton: 15%
X-ray background flux (1.0-8.0 A): in the range C2.3-C3.2
Radio Flux 10.7 cm: a fluctuation in the range 211-235

Vlastislav Feik
RWC Prague, Astronomical Institute, Solar Dept., Ondrejov, Czech Republic
e-mail: sunwatch(at)asu.cas.cz