Programme


Foundations of Uncertainty: Probability and Its Rivals

Programme


Tuesday 1 September

13:30 14:20 registration
14:20 14:30 opening
14:30 15:30 Glenn Shafer Three Betting Interpretations of Probability
15:30 16:15 Klaus Nehring Imprecise Probabilistic Beliefs in the Presence of Ambiguity

16:15 16:45 coffee break

16:45 17:30 Jeremy Shipley Probability, Precision, and Prudence: On White's Puzzle
17:30 18:15  Moritz Schulz What Should I Believe?

 


Wednesday 2 September

09:30 10:30 Peter Milne Probability as a Measure of Information Added
10:30 11:15 Aidan Lyon A Third Concept of Probability

11:15 11:30 coffee break

11:30 12:15 Richard Pettigrew and Hannes Leitgeb Bayesian Epistemology and the Goal of 00:00 00:00 Accuracy

12:15 13:00 Timothy Childers and Ondrej Majer Representing Subjective Probabilities

13:00 15:00 lunch

15:00 16:00 Alan Hájek Arrows and Haloes: Probabilities, Conditionals, Desires, and Beliefs

16:00 16:30  coffee break

16:30 17:15 Wolfgang Pietsch Varieties of Pluralism in the Interpretation of Probability
17:15 18:00 Ken Binmore Rational Decisions


 

Thursday 3 September

09:30 10:30 Jeff Paris Symmetry's End?
10:30 11:15 Bert Leuridan Objective Bayesianism and Unfair Coins

11:15 11:30 coffee break

11:30 12:15 Jacob Rosenthal Probabilities as Ratios of Ranges in Initial-state Spaces
12:15 13:00 J
örg Zimmermann and Armin B. Cremers Measuring Uncertainty with Elements
00:00 00:00 of the [0; 1]-Interval of Partially Ordered Rings

13:00 15:00 lunch

15:00 16:00 Jim Joyce Do Imprecise Credences Make Sense?

16:00 16:30 coffee break

16:30 17:15 Franz Huber The Consistency Argument for Ranking Functions
17:15 18:00 Aviezer Tucker Inference from Multiple Testimonies: Supervenient Social Knowledge

19:30 banquet

 



Friday 4 September


09:30 10:30 Teddy Seidenfeld Coherence with Proper Scoring Rules (slides)

10:30 11:00 coffee break

11:00 11:45 Christopher Hitchcock Cause and Chance
11:45 12:30 Anubav Vasudevan and Haim Gaifman Some Incoherencies Resulting from
00:00 00:00 Minimal Information Methods

12:30 closing