Project: Advanced models of precipitation extremes and their applications in high-resolution climate model simulations

Precipitation extremes attract large attention because they are associated with pronounced negative consequences for environment and society, and because climate change may substantially influence their patterns. Attempts to better understand behaviour of precipitation extremes have motivated several recent advances in the field of statistical modelling of extreme values, including extreme value models with covariates and models for spatial extremes, but many issues remain open. The project deals with development of non-stationary, regional and multi-component extreme value models and their applications to precipitation data from high-resolution regional climate model (RCM) simulations over Europe. The advanced extreme value models are used to identify biases of precipitation extremes in RCM simulations driven by reanalysis and to evaluate changes in precipitation extremes projected in an ensemble of up-to-date RCM simulations driven by global climate models.

Další účastník projektu: Technická univerzita v Liberci, Fakulta přírodovědně-humanitní a pedagogická

Funded by: GA ČR. GA14-18675S

Duration: 2014–2016

Investigator: Kyselý, J.

Tým: Rulfová, Z.