Jan Kyselý

Function:	Head of the Department
Position:	Senior Research Scientist
Email:
Phone:	+420 272 016 068
Room:	208

Selected publications:

• Lhotka, Ondřej; Kyselý, Jan; Plavcová, Eva, 2017: Evaluation of major heat waves’ mechanisms in EURO-CORDEX RCMs over Central Europe, Climate Dynamics , in press
• Collazo, S.; Lhotka, Ondřej; Rusticucci, M.; Kyselý, Jan, 2017: Capability of the SMHI-RCA4 RCM driven by the ERA-Interim reanalysis to simulate heat waves in Argentina, International Journal of Climatology, in print
• Rulfová, Zuzana; Beranová, Romana; Kyselý, Jan, 2017: Climate change scenarios of convective and large-scale precipitation in the Czech Republic based on EURO-CORDEX data, International Journal of Climatology, 37, 5, pp. 2451–2465
• Beranová, Romana; Kyselý, Jan; Hanel, M., 2017: Characteristics of sub-daily precipitation extremes in observed data and regional climate model simulations, Theoretical and Applied Climatology, in press
• Svoboda, V.; Hanel, M.; Máca, P.; Kyselý, Jan, 2017: Characteristics of rainfall events in regional climate model simulations for the Czech Republic, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 21, pp. 963-980
• Lhotka, Ondřej; Kyselý, Jan; Farda, A., 2017: Climate change scenarios of heat waves in Central Europe and their uncertainties, Theoretical and Applied Climatology, in press
• Svoboda, V.; Hanel, M.; Máca, P.; Kyselý, Jan, 2016: Projected changes of rainfall event characteristics for the Czech Republic, Journal of Hydrology and Hydromechanics, 64, 4, pp. 415–425
• Urban, Aleš ; Burkart, K. ; Kyselý, Jan ; Schuster, Ch. ; Plavcová, Eva ; Hanzlíková, Hana ; Štěpánek, P. ; Lakes, T., 2016: Spatial patterns of heat-related cardiovascular mortality in the Czech Republic, International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 13, 3
• Rulfová, Zuzana ; Buishand, A. ; Roth, M. ; Kyselý, Jan, 2016: A two-component generalized extreme value distribution for precipitation frequency analysis, Journal of Hydrology, 534, pp. 659–668
• Hanel, M. ; Pavlásková, A. ; Kyselý, Jan , 2016: Trends in characteristics of sub-daily heavy precipitation and rainfall erosivity in the Czech Republic, International Journal of Climatology , 36, 4, pp. 1833–1845
• Urban, Aleš ; Kyselý, Jan, 2016: Application of spatial synoptic classification in evaluating links between heat stress and cardiovascular mortality and morbidity in Prague, Czech Republic, International Journal of Biometeorology, in press
• Plavcová, Eva ; Kyselý, Jan, 2016: Overly persistent circulation in climate models contributes to overestimated frequency and duration of heat waves and cold spells, Climate Dynamics, 46, 9, pp. 2805-2820
• Kyselý, Jan ; Rulfová, Zuzana ; Farda, Aleš ; Hanel, M. , 2016: Convective and stratiform precipitation characteristics in an ensemble of regional climate model simulations, Climate Dynamics, 46, 1, pp. 227-243
• Rusticucci, M. ; Kyselý, Jan ; Almeira, G. ; Lhotka, Ondřej, 2016: Long-term variability of heat waves in Argentina and recurrence probability of the severe 2008 heat wave in Buenos Aires, Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 124, 3, pp. 679-689
• Beranová, Romana ; Kyselý, Jan, 2016: Links between circulation indices and precipitation in the Mediterranean in an ensemble of regional climate models, Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 123, 3 , pp. 693-701
• Hanzlíková, Hana ; Plavcová, Eva ; Kynčl, J. ; Kříž, B. ; Kyselý, Jan, 2015: Contrasting patterns of hot spell effects on morbidity and mortality for cardiovascular diseases in the Czech Republic, 1994–2009, International Journal of Biometeorology, 59, 11 , pp. 1673-1684
• Lhotka, Ondřej ; Kyselý, Jan, 2015: Spatial and temporal characteristics of heat waves over Central Europe in an ensemble of regional climate model simulations, Climate Dynamics, 45, 9 , pp. 2351-2366
• Lhotka, Ondřej ; Kyselý, Jan, 2015: Hot Central-European summer of 2013 in a long-term context, International Journal of Climatology, 35 , 14 , pp. 4399-4407
• Lhotka, Ondřej ; Kyselý, Jan, 2015: Characterizing joint effects of spatial extent, temperature magnitude and duration of heat waves and cold spells over Central Europe, International Journal of Climatology, 35, 7, pp. 1232–1244
• Gaál, Ladislav ; Beranová, Romana ; Hlavčová, K. ; Kyselý, Jan, 2014: Climate change scenarios of precipitation extremes in the Carpathian region based on an ensemble of regional climate models, Advances in Meteorology, 2014, pp. -
• Urban, Aleš ; Kyselý, Jan, 2014: Comparison of UTCI with other thermal indices in the assessment of heat and cold effects on cardiovascular mortality in the Czech Republic, , International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 11, 1, pp. 952-967
• Plavcová, Eva ; Kyselý, Jan, 2014: Effects of sudden air pressure changes on hospital admissions for cardiovascular diseases in Prague, 1994–2009, International Journal of Biometeorology, 58, 6, pp. 1327-1337
• Plavcová, Eva ; Kyselý, Jan ; Štěpánek, Petr, 2014: Links between circulation types and precipitation in Central Europe in the observed data and regional climate model simulations, International Journal of Climatology, 34, 9, pp. 2885–2898
• Urban, Aleš ; Davídkovová, Hana ; Kyselý, Jan, 2014: Heat- and cold-stress effects on cardiovascular mortality and morbidity among urban and rural populations in the Czech Republic, International Journal of Biometeorology, 58, 6, pp. 1057-1068
• Davídkovová, Hana ; Plavcová, Eva ; Kynčl, J. ; Kyselý, Jan, 2014: Impacts of hot and cold spells differ for acute and chronic ischaemic heart diseases, BMC Public Health, 14, 480, pp. -
• Rulfová, Zuzana ; Kyselý, Jan, 2014: Trends of convective and stratiform precipitation in the Czech Republic, 1982–2010, Advances in Meteorology, online
• Plavcová, Eva ; Kyselý, Jan, 2013: Projected evolution of circulation types and their temperatures over Central Europe in climate models, Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 114, 3-4, pp. 625-634
• Beranová, Romana ; Kyselý, Jan, 2013: Relationships between the North Atlantic Oscillation index and temperatures in Europe in global climate models, Studia geophysica et geodaetica, 57, 1, pp. 138-153
• Rulfová, Zuzana ; Kyselý, Jan, 2013: Disaggregating convective and stratiform precipitation from station weather data, Atmospheric Research, 134, pp. 100-115
• Kyselý, Jan ; Gaál, L. ; Picek, J. ; Schindler, M., 2013: Return periods of the August 2010 heavy precipitation in northern Bohemia (Czech Republic) in the present climate and under climate change, Journal of Water and Climate Change, 4, -, pp. 265-286
• Davídkovová, Hana ; Kyselý, Jan ; Kříž, B. ; Vojtíšek, P. ; Bobák, M., 2013: Trends in cardiovascular mortality and hospitalisations, and potential contribution of inhospital case-fatality rates to changes in national mortality in the Czech Republic 1994-2009, Heart, 99, 6, pp. 409-416
• Kyselý, Jan ; Plavcová, Eva, 2012: Declining impacts of hot spells on mortality in the Czech Republic, 1986-2009: adaptation to climate change?, Climatic Change, 113, 2, pp. 437-453
• Kyselý, Jan ; Plavcová, Eva, 2012: Biases in the diurnal temperature range in Central Europe in an ensemble of regional climate models and their possible causes, Climate Dynamics, 39, 6, pp. 1275-1286
• Plavcová, Eva ; Kyselý, Jan, 2012: Atmospheric circulation in regional climate models over Central Europe: links to surface air temperature and the influence of driving data, Climate Dynamics, 39, 7-8, pp. 1681-1695
• Kyselý, Jan ; Beguería, S. ; Beranová, Romana ; Gaál, Ladislav ; López-Moreno, J. I, 2012: Different patterns of climate change scenarios for short-term and multi-day precipitation extremes in the Mediterranean, Global and Planetary Change, 98-99, - , pp. 63-72
• Kyselý, Jan ; Gaál, Ladislav ; Beranová, Romana ; Plavcová, Eva, 2011: Climate change scenarios of precipitation extremes in Central Europe from ENSEMBLES regional climate models, Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 104, 3-4, pp. 529-542
• Kyselý, Jan ; Gaál, Ladislav ; Picek, J. , 2011: Comparison of regional and at-site approaches to modelling probabilities of heavy precipitation, International Journal of Climatology, 31, 10, pp. 1457-1472
• Kyselý, Jan ; Gaál, Ladislav ; Beranová, Romana, 2011: Projected changes in flood-generating precipitation extremes over the Czech Republic in high-resolution regional climate models, Journal of Hydrology and Hydromechanics, 59, 4, pp. 217-227
• Plavcová, Eva ; Kyselý, Jan, 2011: Evaluation of daily temperatures in Central Europe and their links to large-scale circulation in an ensemble of regional climate models, Tellus Series A-Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 63A, 4, pp. 763-781
• Kyselý, Jan ; Plavcová, Eva ; Davídkovová, Hana ; Kynčl, J., 2011: Comparison of hot and cold spell effects on cardiovascular mortality in individual population groups in the Czech Republic, Climate Research, 49, 2, pp. 113-129
• Kyselý, Jan ; Plavcová, Eva, 2010: A critical remark on the applicability of E-OBS European gridded temperature data set for validating control climate simulations, Journal of Geophysical Research, 115, -, pp. D23118/1-D23118/14
• Kyselý, Jan, 2010: Coverage probability of bootstrap confidence intervals in heavy-tailed frequency models, with application to precipitation data, Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 101, 3-4, pp. 345-361
• Kyselý, Jan ; Picek, J. ; Beranová, Romana, 2010: Estimating extremes in climate change simulations using the peaks-over-threshold method with a non-stationary threshold, Global and Planetary Change, 72, 1-2, pp. 55-68
• Kyselý, Jan, 2010: Recent severe heat waves in central Europe: how to view them in a long-term prospect?, International Journal of Climatology, 30, 1, pp. 89-109
• Kyselý, Jan ; Huth, Radan ; Kim, J., 2010: Evaluating heat-related mortality in Korea by objective classifications of "air masses", International Journal of Climatology, 30, 10, pp. 1484-1501
• Kyselý, Jan ; Huth, Radan, 2010: Relationships between summer air masses and mortality in Seoul: Comparison of weather-type classifications, Physics and Chemistry of the Earth, 35, 9-12, pp. 536-543
• Plavcová, Eva ; Kyselý, Jan, 2010: Relationships between sudden weather changes in summer and mortality in the Czech Republic, 1986–2005, International Journal of Biometeorology, 54, 5, pp. 539-551
• Plavcová E., Kyselý J., 2009: Vliv náhlých změn teploty a tlaku vzduchu na úmrtnost v ČR, Epidemiologie, mikrobiologie, imunologie, 58, pp. 73-83
• Gaál, Ladislav ; Kyselý, Jan, 2009: Comparison of region-of-influence methods for estimating high quantiles of precipitation in a dense dataset in the Czech Republic, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 13, 11
• Kyselý, Jan ; Beranová, Romana, 2009: Climate-change effects on extreme precipitation in central Europe: uncertainties of scenarios based on regional climate models, Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 95, 3-4, pp. 361-374
• Kyselý, Jan ; Pokorná, Lucie ; Kyncl, J. ; Kříž, B., 2009: Excess cardiovascular mortality associated with cold spells in the Czech Republic, Bmc Public Health, 9, 19, pp. 1-11
• Kyselý, Jan ; Kim, J., 2009: Mortality during heat waves in South Korea, 1991 to 2005: How exceptional was the 1994 heat wave?, Climate Research, 38, 2, pp. 105-116
• Kyselý, Jan, 2009: Trends in heavy precipitation in the Czech Republic over 1961-2005, International Journal of Climatology, 29, 12, pp. 1745-1758
• Radová, Michaela ; Kyselý, Jan, 2009: Temporal instability of temperature singularities in a long-term series at Prague-Klementinum, Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 95, 3-4, pp. 235-243
• Trnka, Miroslav ; Kyselý, Jan ; Možný, M. ; Dubrovský, Martin, 2009: Changes in Central-European soil-moisture availability and circulation patterns in 1881-2005, International Journal of Climatology, 29, 5, pp. 655-672
• Gaál, L. ; Kyselý, Jan ; Szolgay, J., 2008: Region-of-influence approach to a frequency analysis of heavy precipitation in Slovakia, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 12, 3, pp. 825-839
• Huth, Radan ; Beck, Ch. ; Philipp, A. ; Demuzere, M. ; Ustrnul, Z. ; Cahynová, Monika ; Kyselý, Jan ; Tveito, O. E., 2008: Classifications of atmospheric circulation patterns: Recent advances and applications, New York Academy of Sciences. Annals, 1146, pp. 105-152
• Huth, Radan ; Kyselý, Jan ; Bochníček, Josef ; Hejda, Pavel, 2008: Solar activity affects the occurrence of synoptic types over Europe, Annales Geophysicae, 26, 7, pp. 1999-2004
• Kyselý, Jan, 2008: A cautionary note on the use of nonparametric bootstrap for estimating uncertainties in extreme value models, Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 47, 12, pp. 3236-3251
• Kyselý, Jan ; Kříž, B., 2008: Decreased impacts of the 2003 heat waves on mortality in the Czech Republic: an improved response?, International Journal of Biometeorology, 52, 8, pp. 733-745
• Kyselý, Jan, 2008: Influence of the persistence of circulation patterns on warm and cold temperature anomalies in Europe: Analysis over the 20th century, Global and Planetary Change, 62, 1-2, pp. 147-163
• Kyselý, Jan ; Beranová, Romana ; Picek, J. ; Štěpánek, P., 2008: Simulation of summer temperature extremes over the Czech Republic in regional climate models, Meteorologische Zeitschrift, 17, 5, pp. 645-661
• Kyselý, Jan ; Picek, J. ; Huth, Radan, 2007: Formation of homogeneous regions for regional frequency analysis of extreme precipitation events in the Czech Republic, Studia geophysica et geodaetica, 51, 2, pp. 327-344
• Kyselý, Jan, 2007: Implications of enhanced persistence of atmospheric circulation for the occurrence and severity of temperature extremes, International Journal of Climatology, 27, 5, pp. 689-695
• Kyselý, Jan ; Picek, J., 2007: Regional growth curves and improved design value estimates of extreme precipitation events in the Czech Republic, Climate Research, 33, 3, pp. 243-255
• Kyselý, Jan ; Huth, Radan, 2006: Changes in atmospheric circulation over Europe detected by objective and subjective methods, Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 85, 1-2, pp. 19-36
• Kyselý, Jan ; Domonkos, P. , 2006: Recent increase in persistence of atmospheric circulation over Europe: comparison with long-term variations since 1881, International Journal of Climatology, 26, 4, pp. 461-483
• Kyselý, Jan ; Dubrovský, Martin, 2005: Simulation of extreme temperature events by a stochastic weather generator: effects of interdiurnal and interannual variability reproduction, International Journal of Climatology, 25, 2, pp. 251-269

Projects:

• GA ČR. GA16-22000S, Prostorové a časové charakteristiky horkých a studených vln v simulacích klimatických modelů, 2016 - 2018. Investigator: Kyselý, J. Details
• MŠMT. 7AMB15AR001, Climate change effects on heat waves and their recurrence probabilities, 2015–2016. Investigator: Kyselý, J. Details
• GA ČR. GA14-18675S, Advanced models of precipitation extremes and their applications in high-resolution climate model simulations, 2014–2016. Investigator: Kyselý, J., Team: Rulfová, Z. Details
• MŠMT. 7AMB12AR005, Heat waves in a changing climate: statistical and dynamical perspective, 2012-2013. Investigator: Kyselý, J. Details
• GA ČR. GAP209/11/1985, Temporal and spatial patterns of links between weather and morbidity due to cardiovascular diseases, 2011-2015. Investigator: Kyselý, J. Details
• GA ČR. GAP209/10/2265, Reproduction of links between atmospheric circulation and surface air temperature and precipitation distributions in climate models, 2010-2014. Investigator: Kyselý, J. Details
• GA ČR. GAP209/10/2045, Homogeneous and non-homogeneous Poisson process models for extremes in climate change studies, 2010-2013. Investigator: Kyselý, J., Team: Rulfová, Z. Details

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