Jan Kyselý

Function:	Head of the Department
Position:	Senior Research Scientist
Email:
Phone:	+420 272 016 068
Room:	208

Selected publications:

• Vicedo-Cabrera, A.M., Guo, Y., Sera, F., Huber, V., Schleussner, C.-F., Mitchell, D., Tong, S., Coelho, M. S. Z. S., Saldiva, P. H. N., Lavigne, E., Correa, P.M., Ortega, N. V., Kan, H., Osorio, S., Kyselý, Jan, Urban, Aleš, Jaakkola, J.J.K., Ryti, N.R.I., Pascal, M., Goodman, P.G., Zeka, A., Michelozzi, P., Scortichini, M., Hashizume, M., Honda, Y., Hurtado-Diaz, M., Cruz, J.C., Seposo, X., Kim, H., Tobias, A., Iniguez, C., Forsberg, B., Åström, D.O., Ragettli, M.S., Rőősli, M., Guo, Y.L., Wu, Ch., Zanobetti, A., Schwartz, J., Bell, M.L., Dang, T.N., Van, D.D., Heaviside, C., Vardoulakis, S., Hajat, S., Haines, A., Armstrong, B., Ebi, K.L., Gasparrini, A., 2018: Temperature-related mortality impacts under and beyond Paris Agreement climate change scenarios, Climatic Change, in press
• Lhotka, Ondřej, Kyselý, Jan, 2018: Circulation‐Conditioned Wintertime Temperature Bias in EURO‐CORDEX Regional Climate Models Over Central Europe, Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 123, 16, pp. 8661-8673
• Hanel, M., Rakovec, O., Markonis, Y., Máca, P., Samaniego, L., Kyselý, Jan, Kumar, R., 2018: Revisiting the recent European droughts from a long-term perspective, Scientific Reports, 8, June 22, č. článku 9499
• Lhotka, Ondřej; Kyselý, Jan; Plavcová, Eva, 2018: Evaluation of major heat waves’ mechanisms in EURO-CORDEX RCMs over Central Europe, Climate Dynamics , 50, 11-12 , pp. 4249–4262
• Markonis, Y., Hanel, M., Máca, P., Kyselý, Jan, Cook, E., 2018: Persistent multi-scale fluctuations shift European hydroclimate to its millennial boundaries, Nature Communications, 9, č.1, č. článku 1767
• Beranová, Romana; Kyselý, Jan; Hanel, M., 2018: Characteristics of sub-daily precipitation extremes in observed data and regional climate model simulations, Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 132, 1-2, pp. 515-527
• Beranová, Romana; Kyselý, Jan, 2018: Trends of precipitation characteristics in the Czech Republic over 1961–2012, their spatial patterns and links to temperature and the North Atlantic Oscillation, International Journal of Climatology, 38, Suppl. 1, pp. E596-E606
• Lhotka, Ondřej; Kyselý, Jan; Farda, A., 2018: Climate change scenarios of heat waves in Central Europe and their uncertainties, Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 131, 3-4, pp. 1043-1054
• Urban, Aleš ; Kyselý, Jan, 2018: Application of spatial synoptic classification in evaluating links between heat stress and cardiovascular mortality and morbidity in Prague, Czech Republic, International Journal of Biometeorology, 62, 1, pp. 85-96
• Collazo, S.; Lhotka, Ondřej; Rusticucci, M.; Kyselý, Jan, 2018: Capability of the SMHI-RCA4 RCM driven by the ERA-Interim reanalysis to simulate heat waves in Argentina, International Journal of Climatology, 38, 1, pp. 483-496
• Urban, Aleš; Hanzlíková, Hana; Kyselý, Jan; Plavcová, Eva, 2017: Impacts of the 2015 Heat Waves on Mortality in the Czech Republic—A Comparison with Previous Heat Waves, Environmental Research and Public Health, 14, 12, pp. č. článku 1562
• Gasparrini, A.; Guo, Y.; Sera, F.; Vicedo-Cabrera, A.M.; Huber, V.; Tong, S.; Coelho; Saldiva; Lavigne, E.; Correa, P.M.; Ortega, Nicolas Valdes; Kan, H.; Osorio, S.; Kyselý, Jan; Urban, Aleš; Jaakkola, J.J.K.; Ryti, N.R.I.; Pascal, M.; Goodman, P.G.; Zeka, A.; Michelozzi, P.; Scortichini, M.; Hashizume, M.; Honda, Y.; Hurtado-Diaz, M.; Cruz, J.C.; Seposo, X.; Kim, H.; Tobias, A.; Iñiguez, C.; Forsberg, B.; Åström, D.O.; Ragettli, M.S.; Guo, Y.L.; Wu, Ch.; Zanobetti, A.; Schwartz, J.; Bell, M.L.; Dang, T.N.; Van, D.D.; Heaviside, C.; Vardoulakis, S.; Hajat, S.; Haines, A.; Armstrong, B., 2017: Projections of temperature-related excess mortality under climate change scenarios, Lancet Planetary Health, 1, 9, pp. e360-e367
• Skarka, M. - Mašek, Martin - Brát, L. - Cagaš, P.A. - Juryšek, J. - Hoňková, K. - Zejda, M. - Šmelcer, L. - Jelínek, Martin - Lomoz, F. - Tylšar, M. - Trnka, J. - Pejcha, O. - Pintr, P. - Lehký, M. - Janík, J. - Červinka, L. - Tylšar, M. - Přibík, V. - Motl, D. - Walter, F. - Zasche, P. - Koss, K. - Hájek, P. - Bílek, F. - Liška, J. - Kučáková, H. - Bodnár, F. - Beránek, J. - Šafář, J. - Moudrá, M. - Oršulák, M. - Pintr, M. - Sobotka, P. - Dřevěný, R. - Juráňová, A. - Polák, J. - Polster, J. - Onderková, K. - Smolka, M. - Auer, R.F. - Kocián, R. - Hladík, B. - Cagaš, P. - Greš, A. - Müller, D. - Čapková, H. - Kyselý, Jan - Hornoch, Kamil - Truparová, S. - Timko, L. - Brož, M. - Bílek, Michal - Šebela, P. - Hanžl, D. - Žampachová, E. - Secká, J. - Pravec, Petr - Mrňák, P. - Svoboda, P. - Ehrenberger, R. - Novotný, F. - Poddaný, S. - Prudil, Z. - Kuchťák, B. - Štegner, D., 2017: CzeV - The Czech Variable Star Catalogue, Open European Journal on Variable stars, 185, Sep, pp. 1-42
• Rulfová, Zuzana; Beranová, Romana; Kyselý, Jan, 2017: Climate change scenarios of convective and large-scale precipitation in the Czech Republic based on EURO-CORDEX data, International Journal of Climatology, 37, 5, pp. 2451–2465
• Svoboda, V.; Hanel, M.; Máca, P.; Kyselý, Jan, 2017: Characteristics of rainfall events in regional climate model simulations for the Czech Republic, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 21, pp. 963-980
• Svoboda, V.; Hanel, M.; Máca, P.; Kyselý, Jan, 2016: Projected changes of rainfall event characteristics for the Czech Republic, Journal of Hydrology and Hydromechanics, 64, 4, pp. 415–425
• Urban, Aleš ; Burkart, K. ; Kyselý, Jan ; Schuster, Ch. ; Plavcová, Eva ; Hanzlíková, Hana ; Štěpánek, P. ; Lakes, T., 2016: Spatial patterns of heat-related cardiovascular mortality in the Czech Republic, International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 13, 3
• Rulfová, Zuzana ; Buishand, A. ; Roth, M. ; Kyselý, Jan, 2016: A two-component generalized extreme value distribution for precipitation frequency analysis, Journal of Hydrology, 534, pp. 659–668
• Hanel, M. ; Pavlásková, A. ; Kyselý, Jan , 2016: Trends in characteristics of sub-daily heavy precipitation and rainfall erosivity in the Czech Republic, International Journal of Climatology , 36, 4, pp. 1833–1845
• Plavcová, Eva ; Kyselý, Jan, 2016: Overly persistent circulation in climate models contributes to overestimated frequency and duration of heat waves and cold spells, Climate Dynamics, 46, 9, pp. 2805-2820
• Kyselý, Jan ; Rulfová, Zuzana ; Farda, Aleš ; Hanel, M. , 2016: Convective and stratiform precipitation characteristics in an ensemble of regional climate model simulations, Climate Dynamics, 46, 1, pp. 227-243
• Rusticucci, M. ; Kyselý, Jan ; Almeira, G. ; Lhotka, Ondřej, 2016: Long-term variability of heat waves in Argentina and recurrence probability of the severe 2008 heat wave in Buenos Aires, Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 124, 3, pp. 679-689
• Beranová, Romana ; Kyselý, Jan, 2016: Links between circulation indices and precipitation in the Mediterranean in an ensemble of regional climate models, Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 123, 3 , pp. 693-701
• Hanzlíková, Hana ; Plavcová, Eva ; Kynčl, J. ; Kříž, B. ; Kyselý, Jan, 2015: Contrasting patterns of hot spell effects on morbidity and mortality for cardiovascular diseases in the Czech Republic, 1994–2009, International Journal of Biometeorology, 59, 11 , pp. 1673-1684
• Lhotka, Ondřej ; Kyselý, Jan, 2015: Spatial and temporal characteristics of heat waves over Central Europe in an ensemble of regional climate model simulations, Climate Dynamics, 45, 9 , pp. 2351-2366
• Lhotka, Ondřej ; Kyselý, Jan, 2015: Hot Central-European summer of 2013 in a long-term context, International Journal of Climatology, 35 , 14 , pp. 4399-4407
• Lhotka, Ondřej ; Kyselý, Jan, 2015: Characterizing joint effects of spatial extent, temperature magnitude and duration of heat waves and cold spells over Central Europe, International Journal of Climatology, 35, 7, pp. 1232–1244
• Gaál, Ladislav ; Beranová, Romana ; Hlavčová, K. ; Kyselý, Jan, 2014: Climate change scenarios of precipitation extremes in the Carpathian region based on an ensemble of regional climate models, Advances in Meteorology, 2014, pp. -
• Urban, Aleš ; Kyselý, Jan, 2014: Comparison of UTCI with other thermal indices in the assessment of heat and cold effects on cardiovascular mortality in the Czech Republic, , International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 11, 1, pp. 952-967
• Plavcová, Eva ; Kyselý, Jan, 2014: Effects of sudden air pressure changes on hospital admissions for cardiovascular diseases in Prague, 1994–2009, International Journal of Biometeorology, 58, 6, pp. 1327-1337
• Plavcová, Eva ; Kyselý, Jan ; Štěpánek, Petr, 2014: Links between circulation types and precipitation in Central Europe in the observed data and regional climate model simulations, International Journal of Climatology, 34, 9, pp. 2885–2898
• Urban, Aleš ; Davídkovová, Hana ; Kyselý, Jan, 2014: Heat- and cold-stress effects on cardiovascular mortality and morbidity among urban and rural populations in the Czech Republic, International Journal of Biometeorology, 58, 6, pp. 1057-1068
• Davídkovová, Hana ; Plavcová, Eva ; Kynčl, J. ; Kyselý, Jan, 2014: Impacts of hot and cold spells differ for acute and chronic ischaemic heart diseases, BMC Public Health, 14, 480, pp. -
• Rulfová, Zuzana ; Kyselý, Jan, 2014: Trends of convective and stratiform precipitation in the Czech Republic, 1982–2010, Advances in Meteorology, online
• Plavcová, Eva ; Kyselý, Jan, 2013: Projected evolution of circulation types and their temperatures over Central Europe in climate models, Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 114, 3-4, pp. 625-634
• Beranová, Romana ; Kyselý, Jan, 2013: Relationships between the North Atlantic Oscillation index and temperatures in Europe in global climate models, Studia geophysica et geodaetica, 57, 1, pp. 138-153
• Rulfová, Zuzana ; Kyselý, Jan, 2013: Disaggregating convective and stratiform precipitation from station weather data, Atmospheric Research, 134, pp. 100-115
• Kyselý, Jan ; Gaál, L. ; Picek, J. ; Schindler, M., 2013: Return periods of the August 2010 heavy precipitation in northern Bohemia (Czech Republic) in the present climate and under climate change, Journal of Water and Climate Change, 4, -, pp. 265-286
• Davídkovová, Hana ; Kyselý, Jan ; Kříž, B. ; Vojtíšek, P. ; Bobák, M., 2013: Trends in cardiovascular mortality and hospitalisations, and potential contribution of inhospital case-fatality rates to changes in national mortality in the Czech Republic 1994-2009, Heart, 99, 6, pp. 409-416
• Kyselý, Jan ; Plavcová, Eva, 2012: Declining impacts of hot spells on mortality in the Czech Republic, 1986-2009: adaptation to climate change?, Climatic Change, 113, 2, pp. 437-453
• Kyselý, Jan ; Plavcová, Eva, 2012: Biases in the diurnal temperature range in Central Europe in an ensemble of regional climate models and their possible causes, Climate Dynamics, 39, 6, pp. 1275-1286
• Plavcová, Eva ; Kyselý, Jan, 2012: Atmospheric circulation in regional climate models over Central Europe: links to surface air temperature and the influence of driving data, Climate Dynamics, 39, 7-8, pp. 1681-1695
• Kyselý, Jan ; Beguería, S. ; Beranová, Romana ; Gaál, Ladislav ; López-Moreno, J. I, 2012: Different patterns of climate change scenarios for short-term and multi-day precipitation extremes in the Mediterranean, Global and Planetary Change, 98-99, - , pp. 63-72
• Kyselý, Jan ; Gaál, Ladislav ; Beranová, Romana ; Plavcová, Eva, 2011: Climate change scenarios of precipitation extremes in Central Europe from ENSEMBLES regional climate models, Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 104, 3-4, pp. 529-542
• Kyselý, Jan ; Gaál, Ladislav ; Picek, J. , 2011: Comparison of regional and at-site approaches to modelling probabilities of heavy precipitation, International Journal of Climatology, 31, 10, pp. 1457-1472
• Kyselý, Jan ; Gaál, Ladislav ; Beranová, Romana, 2011: Projected changes in flood-generating precipitation extremes over the Czech Republic in high-resolution regional climate models, Journal of Hydrology and Hydromechanics, 59, 4, pp. 217-227
• Plavcová, Eva ; Kyselý, Jan, 2011: Evaluation of daily temperatures in Central Europe and their links to large-scale circulation in an ensemble of regional climate models, Tellus Series A-Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 63A, 4, pp. 763-781
• Kyselý, Jan ; Plavcová, Eva ; Davídkovová, Hana ; Kynčl, J., 2011: Comparison of hot and cold spell effects on cardiovascular mortality in individual population groups in the Czech Republic, Climate Research, 49, 2, pp. 113-129
• Kyselý, Jan ; Plavcová, Eva, 2010: A critical remark on the applicability of E-OBS European gridded temperature data set for validating control climate simulations, Journal of Geophysical Research, 115, -, pp. D23118/1-D23118/14
• Kyselý, Jan, 2010: Coverage probability of bootstrap confidence intervals in heavy-tailed frequency models, with application to precipitation data, Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 101, 3-4, pp. 345-361
• Kyselý, Jan ; Picek, J. ; Beranová, Romana, 2010: Estimating extremes in climate change simulations using the peaks-over-threshold method with a non-stationary threshold, Global and Planetary Change, 72, 1-2, pp. 55-68
• Kyselý, Jan, 2010: Recent severe heat waves in central Europe: how to view them in a long-term prospect?, International Journal of Climatology, 30, 1, pp. 89-109
• Kyselý, Jan ; Huth, Radan ; Kim, J., 2010: Evaluating heat-related mortality in Korea by objective classifications of "air masses", International Journal of Climatology, 30, 10, pp. 1484-1501
• Kyselý, Jan ; Huth, Radan, 2010: Relationships between summer air masses and mortality in Seoul: Comparison of weather-type classifications, Physics and Chemistry of the Earth, 35, 9-12, pp. 536-543
• Plavcová, Eva ; Kyselý, Jan, 2010: Relationships between sudden weather changes in summer and mortality in the Czech Republic, 1986–2005, International Journal of Biometeorology, 54, 5, pp. 539-551
• Plavcová E., Kyselý J., 2009: Vliv náhlých změn teploty a tlaku vzduchu na úmrtnost v ČR, Epidemiologie, mikrobiologie, imunologie, 58, pp. 73-83
• Gaál, Ladislav ; Kyselý, Jan, 2009: Comparison of region-of-influence methods for estimating high quantiles of precipitation in a dense dataset in the Czech Republic, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 13, 11
• Kyselý, Jan ; Beranová, Romana, 2009: Climate-change effects on extreme precipitation in central Europe: uncertainties of scenarios based on regional climate models, Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 95, 3-4, pp. 361-374
• Kyselý, Jan ; Pokorná, Lucie ; Kyncl, J. ; Kříž, B., 2009: Excess cardiovascular mortality associated with cold spells in the Czech Republic, Bmc Public Health, 9, 19, pp. 1-11
• Kyselý, Jan ; Kim, J., 2009: Mortality during heat waves in South Korea, 1991 to 2005: How exceptional was the 1994 heat wave?, Climate Research, 38, 2, pp. 105-116
• Kyselý, Jan, 2009: Trends in heavy precipitation in the Czech Republic over 1961-2005, International Journal of Climatology, 29, 12, pp. 1745-1758
• Radová, Michaela ; Kyselý, Jan, 2009: Temporal instability of temperature singularities in a long-term series at Prague-Klementinum, Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 95, 3-4, pp. 235-243
• Trnka, Miroslav ; Kyselý, Jan ; Možný, M. ; Dubrovský, Martin, 2009: Changes in Central-European soil-moisture availability and circulation patterns in 1881-2005, International Journal of Climatology, 29, 5, pp. 655-672
• Gaál, L. ; Kyselý, Jan ; Szolgay, J., 2008: Region-of-influence approach to a frequency analysis of heavy precipitation in Slovakia, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 12, 3, pp. 825-839
• Huth, Radan ; Beck, Ch. ; Philipp, A. ; Demuzere, M. ; Ustrnul, Z. ; Cahynová, Monika ; Kyselý, Jan ; Tveito, O. E., 2008: Classifications of atmospheric circulation patterns: Recent advances and applications, New York Academy of Sciences. Annals, 1146, pp. 105-152
• Huth, Radan ; Kyselý, Jan ; Bochníček, Josef ; Hejda, Pavel, 2008: Solar activity affects the occurrence of synoptic types over Europe, Annales Geophysicae, 26, 7, pp. 1999-2004
• Kyselý, Jan, 2008: A cautionary note on the use of nonparametric bootstrap for estimating uncertainties in extreme value models, Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 47, 12, pp. 3236-3251
• Kyselý, Jan ; Kříž, B., 2008: Decreased impacts of the 2003 heat waves on mortality in the Czech Republic: an improved response?, International Journal of Biometeorology, 52, 8, pp. 733-745
• Kyselý, Jan, 2008: Influence of the persistence of circulation patterns on warm and cold temperature anomalies in Europe: Analysis over the 20th century, Global and Planetary Change, 62, 1-2, pp. 147-163
• Kyselý, Jan ; Beranová, Romana ; Picek, J. ; Štěpánek, P., 2008: Simulation of summer temperature extremes over the Czech Republic in regional climate models, Meteorologische Zeitschrift, 17, 5, pp. 645-661
• Kyselý, Jan ; Picek, J. ; Huth, Radan, 2007: Formation of homogeneous regions for regional frequency analysis of extreme precipitation events in the Czech Republic, Studia geophysica et geodaetica, 51, 2, pp. 327-344
• Kyselý, Jan, 2007: Implications of enhanced persistence of atmospheric circulation for the occurrence and severity of temperature extremes, International Journal of Climatology, 27, 5, pp. 689-695
• Kyselý, Jan ; Picek, J., 2007: Regional growth curves and improved design value estimates of extreme precipitation events in the Czech Republic, Climate Research, 33, 3, pp. 243-255
• Kyselý, Jan ; Huth, Radan, 2006: Changes in atmospheric circulation over Europe detected by objective and subjective methods, Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 85, 1-2, pp. 19-36
• Kyselý, Jan ; Domonkos, P. , 2006: Recent increase in persistence of atmospheric circulation over Europe: comparison with long-term variations since 1881, International Journal of Climatology, 26, 4, pp. 461-483
• Kyselý, Jan ; Dubrovský, Martin, 2005: Simulation of extreme temperature events by a stochastic weather generator: effects of interdiurnal and interannual variability reproduction, International Journal of Climatology, 25, 2, pp. 251-269

Projects:

• GA ČR. GA16-22000S, Prostorové a časové charakteristiky horkých a studených vln v simulacích klimatických modelů, 2016 - 2018. Investigator: Kyselý, J. Details
• MŠMT. 7AMB15AR001, Climate change effects on heat waves and their recurrence probabilities, 2015–2016. Investigator: Kyselý, J. Details
• GA ČR. GA14-18675S, Advanced models of precipitation extremes and their applications in high-resolution climate model simulations, 2014–2016. Investigator: Kyselý, J., Team: Rulfová, Z. Details
• MŠMT. 7AMB12AR005, Heat waves in a changing climate: statistical and dynamical perspective, 2012-2013. Investigator: Kyselý, J. Details
• GA ČR. GAP209/11/1985, Temporal and spatial patterns of links between weather and morbidity due to cardiovascular diseases, 2011-2015. Investigator: Kyselý, J. Details
• GA ČR. GAP209/10/2265, Reproduction of links between atmospheric circulation and surface air temperature and precipitation distributions in climate models, 2010-2014. Investigator: Kyselý, J. Details
• GA ČR. GAP209/10/2045, Homogeneous and non-homogeneous Poisson process models for extremes in climate change studies, 2010-2013. Investigator: Kyselý, J., Team: Rulfová, Z. Details

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