Abstract: We focus on the analysis of electricity power load in Czech Republic which
exhibits seasonality as well as other periodic trends typical for European
countries. The presented approach uses Multi-fractal Detrended Fluctuation
Analysis method (MF-DFA) from statistical physics to analyze extremely large
power load datasets with one minute resolution. Extraction of stochastic
part of the signal using Fourier transform allows us to apply this method
and to estimate Hurst exponent. The resulting fluctuation function of the
dataset is characterized by heavy-tail distribution with no finite moment.
Generalized Euclidean metric with variable exponent q is used to analyze
this fluctuation function. We found that the autocorrelation function
exhibits persistent behavior for q<1 and it is anti-persistent for q>1.
Knowledge of properties of autocorrelation function allows better prediction
of electricity load as well as measure of risk.