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Monday, 8 October, 2018

12:30 | Public Lecture

End homelessness now: lessons learned from the U.S. and a way forward for the Czech Republic

Seminar and panel discussion with Professor Dennis Culhane, USA

Organized by IDEA - think tank of CERGE-EI, the Platform for Social Housing and the Institute of Sociology of the Czech Academy of Sciences

Time: 8 October, 2018 at 12:30 - 14:30
Place: CERGE -EI, Politických vězňů 7, Prague 1

The keynote speech will give a broad overview of homelessness in the US, and how Dr. Culhane´s longitudinal research into the use of homelessness services came to segment the population and inform the program and policy interventions to match those segments. The veteran homelessness initiative will be used as an example of how the interventions have worked, and ways to transfer these lessons to the European context will be used.

Panelists:

Jana Maláčová | Minister, Ministry of Labour and Social Affairs
Štěpán Jurajda | Researcher, IDEA at CERGE-EI
Vít Lesák | Director, Platform for Social Housing
Martin Lux | Research Fellow, Institute of Sociology of the Czech Academy of Sciences

14:00 | Applied Micro Research Seminar

Gabriel Ulyssea, Ph.D. (U. of Oxford) “Informality and the Economic Effects of Mass Migration: Evidence from Syrian Refugees in Turkey”

Gabriel Ulyssea, Ph.D.

University of Oxford, United Kingdom

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Abstract: The Syrian war has generated the largest flow of war-displaced people since World War II. Turkey alone has received over 2.8 million Syrian refugees, making it the largest host country in the world. This massive inflow of refugees has two distinguishing features. First, refugees were not granted work permits until 2016 but had high employment rates. Their arrival therefore represents a well-defined informal labour supply shock. Second, these inflows were heterogeneous across regions, with a substantial variation in the magnitude of the shock. We develop and estimate a quantitative spatial model to assess the micro and macro effects of this sudden and massive migration wave. We combine SMM and direct estimation from micro data to characterize the pre-shock, baseline Turkish economy and use the estimated model to perform counterfactual exercises. The results show that the inflow of Syrian refugees induces an increase in informality among low skill workers, but also generates both a reduction in informality among high skill workers and a rise in the skill premium. Furthermore, while the regions receiving larger numbers of refugees experience larger effects, the shock spreads to all regions due to regional migration of native workers.
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