Browse Articles

Open access

Mercury's Crustal Thickness and Contractional Strain

  •  30 August 2021

Key Points

  • Many clusters of lobate thrust fault scarps are found in Mercury's thickest crust

  • Mantle flow and crustal thickening appear to have played a part in localizing lithosphere-penetrating thrust faults

  • Some of Mercury's thrust faults may develop analogously to intraplate thrust faults on Earth

free access

Increasing Coral Reef Resilience Through Successive Marine Heatwaves

  •  30 August 2021

Key Points

  • An 18-year record of coral cover spanning three strong El Niño heatwaves reveals a weakening impact of thermal stress over time

  • Coral communities recovered from the catastrophic 2002/2003 heatwave suffered lower mortality in 2015/2016 despite a doubling of thermal stress

  • A decoupling of coral mortality and thermal stress suggests repopulation by thermally tolerant survivors may aid adaptation to ocean warming

free access

Issue Information

  •  27 August 2021
full access

The Landslide Hazard Chain in the Tapovan of the Himalayas on 7 February 2021

  •  25 August 2021

Key Points

  • The full process of a landslide hazard chain on February 7, 2021 in the Himalayas is reconstructed using cell-based numerical simulation

  • The analysis explicitly explains the volume amplification and hazard type transformation in the hazard chain

  • The erosion and deposition features during the hazard chain process are also quantified

full access

Magmatic Underplating Thickening of the Crust of the Southern Tibetan Plateau Inferred From Receiver Function Analysis

  •  25 August 2021

Key Points

  • Crustal thicknesses and VP/VS ratios in central Tibet are estimated by receiver functions extracted from a new 2-D broadband seismic array

  • The crust thickens, and the crustal average VP/VS ratio decreases southward in southern Tibet, correlated with increasing silica contents

  • Magmatic underplating followed by differentiation and delamination of mafic accumulations contributes to crustal thickening and more silica

Open access

Duration of Individual Relativistic Electron Microbursts: A Probe Into Their Scattering Mechanism

  •  25 August 2021

Key Points

  • We identified relativistic microbursts observed by the Solar Anomalous and Magnetospheric Particle Explorer satellite and quantified their duration

  • The microburst duration interquartile range is 70–140 ms and shows trends in Auroral Electrojet, L-shell, and magnetic local time (MLT)

  • In MLT, microburst durations double between midnight and noon-a trend similar to chorus element durations

full access

Electrical Conductivity of Aqueous NaCl at High Pressure and Low Temperature: Application to Deep Subsurface Oceans of Icy Moons

  •  25 August 2021

Key Points

  • First electrical conductivity measurement of aqueous NaCl using a multianvil press for high-pressure and low-temperature environments

  • A numerical electrical conductivity model is proposed and applied to the conditions of Titan's and Ganymede's subsurface ocean

  • Large T-sensitive electrical conductivity provides reference for analysis of future data obtained by the JUICE, Dragonfly, and Europa Clipper

Open access

Downscaling CESM2 in CLM5 to Hindcast Preindustrial Equilibrium Line Altitudes for Tropical Mountain Glaciers

  •  25 August 2021

Key Points

  • Global model-forced standalone land model framework developed for simulating tropical mountain glaciation

  • Equilibrium line altitude can be estimated with a bias of 249 ± 330 m where mountain peaks sufficiently resolved

  • Bias comes from large-scale model precipitation and equilibrium line reconstruction uncertainties

more >
full access

3D deep electrical resistivity tomography of the Lusi eruption site in East Java

  •  1 September 2021

Key Points

  • An extensive 3D deep electrical resistivity tomography survey was performed at the Lusi mud eruption, Indonesia, over a region of 15 km2

  • The low resistivity area with active vents and ongoing subsidence (600 x 100 m) is mapped narrowing in size up to 500 m below the surface

  • The Lusi conduit has an ellipsoidal shape controlled by the Watukosek fault system through which upwell the deep-sourced fluids

Open access

Critical aquifer overdraft accelerates degradation of groundwater quality in California’s Central Valley during drought

  •  1 September 2021

Key Points

  • Drought-induced pumpage has precipitated dramatic groundwater-level declines in California’s Central Valley over the past 30 years

  • Long-term rates of groundwater-level decline and water-quality degradation in overdrafted basins accelerate by factors of 2–5 during drought

  • Increased pumpage during drought can draw shallow, contaminated groundwater down to depths tapped by long-screened production wells

full access

Solar and Geomagnetic Activity Impact on Occurrence and Spatial Size of Cold and Hot Polar Cap Patches

  •  1 September 2021

Key Points

  • The occurrence of cold patches is clearly dependent on solar and geomagnetic activity, while hot patches do not show such dependence

  • In NH winter, the spatial size of both cold and hot patches decreases (increases) with solar (geomagnetic) activity

  • In NH winter, the spatial size of cold patches appears larger than that of hot patches under similar solar and geomagnetic activity

full access

Predicting interannual variability in sea surface height along the west coast of Australia using a simple ocean model

  •  1 September 2021

Key Points

  • Interannual variability in sea level along the west Australian coast can be predicted up to 13 months in advance using a simple ocean model

  • To illustrate, the model is run in hindcast mode forced remotely by Pacific surface winds related to El Niño Southern Oscillation

  • Model hindcasts generally outperform persistence forecasts in terms of anomaly correlation and root-mean-squared differences

full access

A Strong Correlation Between Relativistic Electron Microbursts and Patchy Aurora

  •  1 September 2021

Key Points

  • We identified a conjunction between the low Earth orbiting SAMPEX satellite and a THEMIS all-sky imager at Gillam, Canada

  • We found a high correlation between patchy aurora and urn:x-wiley:00948276:media:grl62975:grl62975-math-0004 MeV electron microburst precipitation observed during the conjunction

  • This correlation suggests a close connection between relativistic electron microbursts and patchy aurora

full access

Higher Probability of Occurrence of Hotter and Shorter Heat Waves Followed by Heavy Rainfall

  •  1 September 2021

Key Points

  • Detection, attribution, and future projection of a temporally compounding event-consecutive heat wave and heavy rainfall (CHWHR)

  • For every four heat wave events, there is one subsequent heavy rainfall (CHWHR) within 7 days during 1981-2005 in China

  • Shorter and hotter heat waves are more likely to be followed by heavy rainfall compared with those not followed by rainfall

full access

Resolving long‐term variations in North Atlantic tropical cyclone activity using a pseudo proxy paleotempestology network approach

  •  1 September 2021

Key Points

  • The current network of paleohurricane proxies captures annual to multi-decadal scale variability in Atlantic tropical cyclone frequency

  • Paleohurricane records predominantly capture storms that impact the U.S. Gulf Coast and Caribbean Sea

  • More paleohurricane records, especially from the U.S. Southeast, are needed to reconstruct recurving tropical cyclones

full access

Isolated Proton Aurora Driven by EMIC Pc1 Wave:PWING, Swarm, and NOAA POES Multi‐Instrument Observations

  •  1 September 2021

Key Points

  • We report the concurrent observations of Pc1 wave, proton precipitation, ionospheric perturbation, FAC, and IPA

  • Pc1 waves over the ionospheric F-layer and IPA over the E-layer show different latitudinal widths

  • Proton precipitation can cause localized plasma density enhancement, which is occasionally surrounded by wide/shallow density depletion

full access

Chloroform (CHCl3) emissions from coastal Antarctic tundra

  •  31 August 2021

Key Points

  • Antarctic tundra is a natural source of CHCl3, emitting up to 0.1 Gg each year into the atmosphere

  • Penguins input organic matter and marine halides into soil through excrement, which facilitates microbial-mediated CHCl3 production

  • The strength of CHCl3 source will vary in response to changes in penguin population/colony size, and the extent of Antarctic warming

full access

Formation of East Asian stagnant slabs due to a pressure‐driven Cenozoic mantle wind following Mesozoic subduction

  •  31 August 2021

Key Points

  • Global thermal-chemical subduction models with data-assimilation reproduced the evolution of East Asian stagnant slabs

  • The key mechanism for slab stagnation is the westward mantle wind driven by continuous former Izanagi and Tethyan subduction

  • Anisotropy calculations confirm the predominant upper-mantle depth of the mantle wind since the early Cenozoic

more >
free access

Evidence linking Arctic amplification to extreme weather in mid‐latitudes

Key Points

  • Enhanced Arctic warming reduces poleward temperature gradient
  • Weaker gradient affects waves in upper-level flow in two observable ways
  • Both effects slow weather patterns, favoring extreme weather

Open access

A global inventory of lakes based on high‐resolution satellite imagery

Key Points

  • Earth has 117 million lakes > 0.002 km2
  • Large and intermediate lakes dominate the total surface area of lakes
  • Power law-based extrapolations do not adequately estimate lake abundance

free access

Large wildfire trends in the western United States, 1984–2011

Key Points

  • Number of large fires and large fire area have increased across the western U.S.
  • Fire activity trends were most significant in southern and mountain ecoregions
  • Increased fire in these ecoregions coincided with increased drought severity

more >
Open access

A high‐accuracy map of global terrain elevations

Key Points

  • A high-accuracy global digital elevation model (DEM) was developed by removing multiple height error components from existing DEMs
  • Landscape representation was improved, especially in flat regions where height error magnitude was larger than actual topography variation
  • The improved-terrain DEM is helpful for any geoscience applications which are terrain dependent, such as flood inundation modelling

Plain Language Summary

Terrain elevation maps are fundamental input data for many geoscience studies. While very precise Digital Elevation Models (DEMs) based on airborne measurements are available in developed regions of the world, most areas of the globe rely on spaceborne DEMs which still include non-negligible height errors for geoscience applications. Here we developed a new high accuracy map of global terrain elevations at 3" resolution (~90m at the equator) by eliminating multiple error components from existing spaceborne DEMs. The height errors included in the original DEMs were separated from actual topography signals and removed using a combination of multiple satellite datasets and filtering techniques. After error removal, global land areas mapped with ±2m or better accuracy increased from 39% to 58%. Significant improvements were found, especially in flat regions such as river floodplains. Here detected height errors were larger than actual topography variability, and following error removal landscapes features such as river networks and hill-valley structures at last became clearly represented. The developed high accuracy topography map will expand the possibility of geoscience applications that require high accuracy elevation data such as terrain landscape analysis, flood inundation modelling, soil erosion analysis, and wetland carbon cycle studies.

full access

Polar Drift in the 1990s Explained by Terrestrial Water Storage Changes

Key Points

  • Past climate-driven polar motion was quantified by modeling terrestrial water storage under two different scenarios

  • One scenario was based on GRACE and reanalysis data; another scenario was based on extra glacier change observations

  • Rapid terrestrial water storage decline caused by ice melting over glacial areas drove the polar drift toward the east in the 1990s

Plain Language Summary

The Earth's pole, the point where the Earth's rotational axis intersects its crust in the Northern Hemisphere, drifted in a new eastward direction in the 1990s, as observed by space geodetic observations. Generally, polar motion is caused by changes in the hydrosphere, atmosphere, oceans, or solid Earth. However, short-term observational records of key information in the hydrosphere (i.e., changes in terrestrial water storage) limit a better understanding of new polar drift in the 1990s. This study introduces a novel approach to quantify the contribution from changes in terrestrial water storage by comparing its drift path under two different scenarios. One scenario assumes that the terrestrial water storage change throughout the entire study period (1981–2020) is similar to that observed recently (2002–2020). The second scenario assumes that it changed from observed glacier ice melting. Only the latter scenario, along with the atmosphere, oceans, and solid Earth, agrees with the polar motion during the period of 1981–2020. The accelerated terrestrial water storage decline resulting from glacial ice melting is thus the main driver of the rapid polar drift toward the east after the 1990s. This new finding indicates that a close relationship existed between polar motion and climate change in the past.

Open access

Climate Impacts of COVID‐19 Induced Emission Changes

Key Points

  • COVID-19 induced lockdowns significantly altered emissions of aerosols, leading to simulated changes in cloud properties in two Earth System Models

  • Aerosol Cloud Interactions from reduced emissions result in significant increases in radiative forcing, up to +0.29 ± 0.15 Wm−2

  • Aerosol radiative forcing reductions are the largest contributor to surface temperature changes

Plain Language Summary

The COVID-19 pandemic changed emissions of gases and particulates. These gases and particulates affect climate. In general, human emissions of particles cool the planet by scattering away sunlight in the clear sky and by making clouds brighter to reflect sunlight away from the earth. This paper focuses on understanding how changes to emissions of particulates (aerosols) affect climate. We use estimates of emissions changes for 2020 in two climate models to simulate the impacts of the COVID-19 induced emission changes. We tightly constrain the models by forcing the winds to match observed winds for 2020. COVID-19 induced lockdowns led to reductions in aerosol and precursor emissions, chiefly soot or black carbon and sulfate (SO4). This is found to reduce the human caused aerosol cooling: creating a small net warming effect on the earth in spring 2020. Changes in cloud properties are smaller than observed changes during 2020. The impact of these changes on regional land surface temperature is small (maximum +0.3 K). The impact of aerosol changes on global surface temperature is very small and lasts over several years. However, the aerosol changes are the largest contribution to COVID-19 affected emissions induced radiative forcing and temperature changes, larger than ozone, CO2 and contrail effects.

Open access

BedMachine v3: Complete Bed Topography and Ocean Bathymetry Mapping of Greenland From Multibeam Echo Sounding Combined With Mass Conservation

Key Points

  • We present a comprehensive, seamless bed topography across the ice-ocean margin around Greenland
  • Two to 4 times more glaciers have calving fronts grounded below 200 m compared to previous mappings
  • Total ice volume of Greenland is 2.99 ± 0.02 times 106 km3, yielding a potential sea level rise of 7.42 m, 7 cm greater than previous estimates

Open access

The 2020 Eruption and Large Lateral Dike Emplacement at Taal Volcano, Philippines: Insights From Satellite Radar Data

Key Points

  • We present a comprehensive interferometric synthetic aperture radar (InSAR)-based data, analyses, and models of Taal’s pre- to post-eruptive state

  • During the eruptive crisis, Taal’s magma reservoir lost 0.531 ± 0.004 km3 of volume while a 0.643 ± 0.001 km3 lateral dike was emplaced

  • Low-latency InSAR-derived products provided crucial and significant information to PHIVOLCS during the January 2020 eruptive event

Plain Language Summary

Taal volcano in the Philippines erupted on January 12, 2020. Here, we present the pre-, co-, and post-eruption data, model, and analyses using interferometric synthetic aperture radar (InSAR) data acquired by various satellite systems. We find that: (1) prior to the eruption, the volcano experiences a sequence of long-term (>1 year) deflation followed by short-term (≤1 year) inflation as a result of the depressurization-pressurization of its ∼5 km depth magma reservoir; (2) during the eruption, the magma reservoir lost a volume of 0.531 ± 0.004 km3 while a 0.643 ± 0.001 km3 lateral dike was emplaced; and (3) post-eruption analyses reveal that the magma reservoir is in recovery starting ∼3 weeks after the main eruptive phase. We propose a conceptual analysis to explain the 2020 Taal eruption and the dike emplacement. We also report the unique and significant contribution of remote sensing data, particularly InSAR during the peak of the crisis.

Open access

Californian Wildfire Smoke Over Europe: A First Example of the Aerosol Observing Capabilities of Aeolus Compared to Ground‐Based Lidar

Key Points

  • Smoke from the extraordinary 2020 Californian wild fires traveled within 3–4 days toward Europe

  • Highest Aerosol Optical Thickness ever measured in the free troposphere over Leipzig, Germany, Central Europe, with ground-based lidar

  • Unique opportunity for a first assessment of the aerosol optical profiles of the spaceborne wind lidar mission Aeolus

Plain Language Summary

In September 2020, extremely strong wildfires in the western USA (i.e., mainly in California) produced large amounts of smoke. These biomass burning aerosol (BBA) layers were transported from the US west coast towards central Europe within 3-4 days. This smoke plume was observed above Leipzig, Germany, for several days turning the sky milky and receiving high media attention - it was the highest perturbation of the troposphere in terms of AOT ever observed over Leipzig. The first smoke plume arrived on 11 September 2020, just in time for a regular overpass of the Aeolus satellite of the European Space Agency (ESA). Aeolus accommodates the first instrument in space that actively measures profiles of a horizontal wind component in the troposphere and lower stratosphere. Aeolus has been launched to improve weather forecasts while assimilating the Aeolus wind profile data in near–real time. But Aeolus also delivers profiles of aerosol and cloud optical properties as spin-off products. We performed a first assessment of the aerosol profiling capabilities of Aeolus while precisely analyzing the smoke plume above Leipzig with a ground-based multiwavelength-Raman-polarization lidar. But we also show the dramatic impact of fires in the western USA on atmospheric conditions over central Europe.

Open access

Quasi‐Stationary Intense Rainstorms Spread Across Europe Under Climate Change

Key Points

  • Following an ingredients-based method, future changes in intense rainstorms in Europe are studied using convection-permitting simulations

  • Environments favoring high rainfall rates are projected to be 7× more frequent by 2100, while the figure for quasi-stationary ones is 11×

  • Reduction in storm speeds due to weaker jets, possibly via Arctic Amplification, can enhance accumulations further increasing flood risk

Plain Language Summary

Intense rainstorms are expected to be more frequent due to global warming, because warmer air can hold more moisture. Here, using very detailed climate simulations (with a 2.2 km grid), we show that the storms producing intense rain across Europe might move slower with climate change, increasing the duration of local exposure to these extremes. Our results suggest such slow-moving storms may be 14× more frequent across land by the end of the century. Currently, almost-stationary intense rainstorms are uncommon in Europe and happen rarely over parts of the Mediterranean Sea, but in future are expected to occur across the continent, including in the north. The main reason seems to be a reduced temperature difference between the poles and tropics, which weakens upper-level winds in the autumn, when these short-duration rainfall extremes most occur. This slower storm movement acts to increase rainfall amounts accumulated locally, enhancing the risk of flash floods across Europe beyond what was previously expected.

Open access

Radiative forcing of carbon dioxide, methane, and nitrous oxide: A significant revision of the methane radiative forcing

Key Points

  • Calculated CH4 radiative forcing is about 25% higher than earlier estimates
  • New simplified expressions for forcing are presented for CO2, N2O, and CH4
  • Forcing for high CO2 concentrations is 9% higher than previous expressions

Plain Language Summary

“Radiative forcing” is an important method to assess the importance of different climate change mechanisms, and is used, for example, by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Increased concentrations of greenhouse gases, such as carbon dioxide, methane and nitrous oxide, are the major component of the human activity that led the IPCC, in its 2013 Assessment, to conclude that “it is extremely likely that human influence is the dominant cause of warming since the mid-20th century.” In this letter, we report new and detailed calculations that aimed to update the simpler methods of computing the radiative forcing that have been used in IPCC assessments, and elsewhere. The major result is that radiative forcing due to methane is around 20-25% higher than that found using the previous simpler methods. The main reason for this is the inclusion of the absorption of solar radiation by methane, a mechanism that had not been included in earlier calculations. We examine the mechanisms by which this solar absorption causes this radiative forcing.The work has significance for assessments of the climate impacts of methane emissions due to human activity, and for the way methane is included in international climate agreements.

Open access

Causes of Higher Climate Sensitivity in CMIP6 Models

Key Points

  • Climate sensitivity is larger on average in CMIP6 than in CMIP5 due mostly to a stronger positive low cloud feedback
  • This is due to greater reductions in low cloud cover and weaker increases in low cloud water content, primarily in the extratropics
  • These changes are related to model physics differences that are apparent in unforced climate variability

Plain Language Summary

The severity of climate change is closely related to how much the Earth warms in response to greenhouse gas increases. Here we find that the temperature response to an abrupt quadrupling of atmospheric carbon dioxide has increased substantially in the latest generation of global climate models. This is primarily because low cloud water content and coverage decrease more strongly with global warming, causing enhanced planetary absorption of sunlight—an amplifying feedback that ultimately results in more warming. Differences in the physical representation of clouds in models drive this enhanced sensitivity relative to the previous generation of models. It is crucial to establish whether the latest models, which presumably represent the climate system better than their predecessors, are also providing a more realistic picture of future climate warming.

Open access

Satellite and Ocean Data Reveal Marked Increase in Earth’s Heating Rate

Key Points

  • Satellite and in situ observations independently show an approximate doubling of Earth's Energy Imbalance (EEI) from mid-2005 to mid-2019

  • Anthropogenic forcing, internal variability, and climate feedbacks all contribute to the positive trend in EEI

  • Marked decreases in clouds and sea-ice and increases in trace gases and water vapor combine to increase the rate of planetary heat uptake

Plain Language Summary

Climate is determined by how much of the sun's energy the Earth absorbs and how much energy Earth sheds through emission of thermal infrared radiation. Their sum determines whether Earth heats up or cools down. Continued increases in concentrations of well-mixed greenhouse gasses in the atmosphere and the long time-scales time required for the ocean, cryosphere, and land to come to thermal equilibrium with those increases result in a net gain of energy, hence warming, on Earth. Most of this excess energy (about 90%) warms the ocean, with the remainder heating the land, melting snow and ice, and warming the atmosphere. Here we compare satellite observations of the net radiant energy absorbed by Earth with a global array of measurements used to determine heating within the ocean, land and atmosphere, and melting of snow and ice. We show that these two independent approaches yield a decadal increase in the rate of energy uptake by Earth from mid-2005 through mid-2019, which we attribute to decreased reflection of energy back into space by clouds and sea-ice and increases in well-mixed greenhouse gases and water vapor.

Latest news