Issued: 2022 October 03 17:00 UTC


Analysis from October 02/1700 UTC to October 03/1700 UTC:

Sunspot Regions on the Disk 03/1629 UTC (SDO Continuum): 9
The Largest Event: X1.0 from region 3110 at 02/2025 UT
X-ray background flux (1.0-8.0 A) October 02: B2.0
Radio Flux 10.7 cm at 02/2300 UTC (Penticton): 147
Solar Wind Speed at 03/1645 UTC: 488.3 km/s, density : 1.9 p/cm^3


Forecast:

Activity level will be: moderate to high - explanation
Event probabilities: Class C: 99%, Class M: 80%, Class X: 20%, Proton: 20%
X-ray background flux (1.0-8.0 A): in the range B1.5 - B3.5
Radio Flux 10.7 cm: a fluctuation in the range 135-145

Martina Pavelkova
RWC Prague, Astronomical Institute, Solar Dept., Ondrejov, Czech Republic
e-mail: sunwatch(at)asu.cas.cz