Issued: 2023 October 06 17:00 UTC


Analysis from October 05/1700 UTC to October 06/1700 UTC:

Sunspot Regions on the Disk 06/1623 UTC (SDO Continuum): 12
The Largest Event: C4.7 from region 3451 at 05/1913 UT
X-ray background flux (1.0-8.0 A) October 05: B8.2
Radio Flux 10.7 cm at 05/2300 UTC (Penticton): 158
Solar Wind Speed at 06/1645 UTC: 411.2 km/s, density : 2.4 p/cm^3


Forecast:

Activity level will be: low to moderate - explanation
Event probabilities: Class C: 90%, Class M: 35%, Class X: 10%, Proton: 10%
X-ray background flux (1.0-8.0 A): in the range B9.0- C1.2
Radio Flux 10.7 cm: a fluctuation in the range 152-162

Martina Pavelkova
RWC Prague, Astronomical Institute, Solar Dept., Ondrejov, Czech Republic
e-mail: sunwatch(at)asu.cas.cz