Project description DEENESFRITPL Improved models to forecast wave-like irregularities propagating in the ionosphere Travelling ionospheric disturbances (TIDs) are a specific type of space weather disturbance (propagating waves in the ionosphere) that could compromise the performance of critical space and ground infrastructure. The EU-funded T-FORS project will develop improved models that could aid in issuing forecasts and warnings for TIDs several hours ahead. Machine learning algorithms will be used to forecast the occurrence and propagation of large-scale TIDs. What is more, statistical models will be applied to estimate the occurrence probability and propagation pattern of medium-scale TIDs. Show the project objective Hide the project objective Objective Travelling Ionospheric Disturbances (TIDs) constitute a specific type of space weather disturbance affecting the performance of critical space and ground infrastructure by disrupting operations and communications in multiple sectors. T-FORS aims at providing new models able to interpret a broad range of observations of the solar corona, the interplanetary medium, the magnetosphere, the ionosphere and the atmosphere, and to issue forecasts and warnings for TIDs several hours ahead. Machine Learning techniques are used to train the models based on existing databases developed in the frames of past Horizon 2020 projects, to estimate the occurrence probability of medium scale TIDs and to forecast the occurrence and propagation of large scale TIDs. Prototype services are developed based on specifications from the users' community and following harmonized standards and quality control similar to the best practices of meteorological services. On ground demonstration tests are organised, by aerospace and civil protection agencies, to validate the performance of the T-FORS prototype services. A comprehensive architectural concept is proposed, including the densification of ground instrument networks, and new space missions, and possible future adjustments in order to develop a real-time operational service fully compliant and complementary to the ESA Space Weather services. Fields of science natural sciencescomputer and information sciencesdatabasesnatural sciencescomputer and information sciencesdata sciencebig datanatural sciencesphysical sciencesplasma physics Keywords Ionosphere Space Weather Space Situational Awareness Travelling Ionospheric Disturbances Programme(s) HORIZON.2.4 - Digital, Industry and Space Main Programme HORIZON.2.4.10 - Space, including Earth Observation Topic(s) HORIZON-CL4-2022-SPACE-01-62 - Space Weather Call for proposal HORIZON-CL4-2022-SPACE-01 See other projects for this call Funding Scheme HORIZON-RIA - HORIZON Research and Innovation Actions Coordinator ETHNIKO ASTEROSKOPEIO ATHINON Net EU contribution € 174 375,00 Address Lofos nymfon 11810 Athina Greece See on map Region Αττική Aττική Κεντρικός Τομέας Αθηνών Activity type Research Organisations Links Contact the organisation Opens in new window Website Opens in new window Participation in EU R&I programmes Opens in new window HORIZON collaboration network Opens in new window Other funding € 0,00 Participants (9) Sort alphabetically Sort by Net EU contribution Expand all Collapse all ISTITUTO NAZIONALE DI GEOFISICA E VULCANOLOGIA Italy Net EU contribution € 114 062,50 Address Via di vigna murata 605 00143 Roma See on map Region Centro (IT) Lazio Roma Activity type Research Organisations Links Contact the organisation Opens in new window Website Opens in new window Participation in EU R&I programmes Opens in new window HORIZON collaboration network Opens in new window Other funding € 0,00 OBSERVATORIO DEL EBRO FUNDACION Spain Net EU contribution € 113 125,00 Address Carrer observatori 3 43520 Roquetes See on map Region Este Cataluña Tarragona Links Contact the organisation Opens in new window Website Opens in new window Participation in EU R&I programmes Opens in new window HORIZON collaboration network Opens in new window Other funding € 0,00 INSTITUT ROYAL METEOROLOGIQUE DE BELGIQUE Belgium Net EU contribution € 90 000,00 Address Avenue circulaire 3 1180 Bruxelles / brussel See on map Region Région de Bruxelles-Capitale/Brussels Hoofdstedelijk Gewest Région de Bruxelles-Capitale/ Brussels Hoofdstedelijk Gewest Arr. de Bruxelles-Capitale/Arr. Brussel-Hoofdstad Activity type Research Organisations Links Contact the organisation Opens in new window Participation in EU R&I programmes Opens in new window HORIZON collaboration network Opens in new window Other funding € 0,00 BOREALIS GLOBAL DESIGNS EOOD Bulgaria Net EU contribution € 97 500,00 Address Blvd maria louisa 24 entr a floor 1 ap 1 9000 Varna See on map SME The organization defined itself as SME (small and medium-sized enterprise) at the time the Grant Agreement was signed. Yes Region Северна и Югоизточна България Североизточен Варна Activity type Private for-profit entities (excluding Higher or Secondary Education Establishments) Links Contact the organisation Opens in new window Participation in EU R&I programmes Opens in new window HORIZON collaboration network Opens in new window Other funding € 0,00 USTAV FYZIKY ATMOSFERY AV CR, v.v.i. Czechia Net EU contribution € 77 812,50 Address Bocni ii 1401 141 31 Praha 4 See on map Region Česko Praha Hlavní město Praha Links Contact the organisation Opens in new window Participation in EU R&I programmes Opens in new window HORIZON collaboration network Opens in new window Other funding € 0,00 LEIBNIZ-INSTITUT FUR ATMOSPHARENPHYSIK EV AN DER UNIVERSITAT ROSTOCK Germany Net EU contribution € 81 875,00 Address Schloss strasse 6 18225 Kuhlungsborn See on map Region Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landkreis Rostock Activity type Research Organisations Links Contact the organisation Opens in new window Website Opens in new window Participation in EU R&I programmes Opens in new window HORIZON collaboration network Opens in new window Other funding € 0,00 BUNDESPOLIZEI Germany Net EU contribution € 62 500,00 Address Heinrich mann allee 103 14473 Potsdam See on map Region Brandenburg Brandenburg Potsdam Links Contact the organisation Opens in new window Participation in EU R&I programmes Opens in new window HORIZON collaboration network Opens in new window Other funding € 0,00 FOLDFIZIKAI ES URTUDOMANYI KUTATOINTEZET Hungary Net EU contribution € 77 500,00 Address Csatkai endre utca 6-8 9400 Sopron See on map Region Dunántúl Nyugat-Dunántúl Győr-Moson-Sopron Links Contact the organisation Opens in new window Participation in EU R&I programmes Opens in new window HORIZON collaboration network Opens in new window Other funding € 0,00 OFFICE NATIONAL D'ETUDES ET DE RECHERCHES AEROSPATIALES France Net EU contribution € 111 000,00 Address Chemin de la huniere 91120 Palaiseau See on map Region Ile-de-France Ile-de-France Essonne Activity type Research Organisations Links Contact the organisation Opens in new window Website Opens in new window Participation in EU R&I programmes Opens in new window HORIZON collaboration network Opens in new window Other funding € 0,00
