Issued: 2024 November 01 17:00 UTC


Analysis from October 31/1700 UTC to November 01/1700 UTC:

Sunspot Regions on the Disk 01/1553 UTC (SDO Continuum): 15
The Largest Event: X2.0 from region 3878 at 31/2120 UT
X-ray background flux (1.0-8.0 A) October 31: C4.6
Radio Flux 10.7 cm at 31/2300 UTC (Penticton): 297
Solar Wind Speed at 01/1645 UTC: 421.5 km/s, density : 1.7 p/cm^3


Forecast:

Activity level will be: moderate to high - explanation
Event probabilities: Class C: 99%, Class M: 80%, Class X: 35%, Proton: 40%
X-ray background flux (1.0-8.0 A): in the range C4.0-C6.0
Radio Flux 10.7 cm: a fluctuation in the range 290-310

Michael Vavra
RWC Prague, Astronomical Institute, Solar Dept., Ondrejov, Czech Republic
e-mail: sunwatch(at)asu.cas.cz